Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a tight race in Pennsylvania, according to the latest polling data. Both candidates have garnered 48 percent support among likely voters, making the Keystone State a pivotal battleground for the upcoming 2024 presidential election.
The Fabrizio, Lee & Associates poll, conducted for the Republican PAC Early Vote Action, underscores the competitive nature of this year's election. The survey sampled 600 voters from July 29 to August 1 and has a margin of error of ±4 percent. It highlights that 41 percent of the respondents were from the Philadelphia market, with Democrats slightly outnumbering Republicans in the sample.
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Among independent voters, Trump and Harris are tied at 44 percent, with 12 percent still undecided. Trump secures 93 percent of Republican support and 7 percent of Democrats, while Harris has the backing of 89 percent of Democrats and 5 percent of Republicans.
In a broader field that includes third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein, and Cornel West, Trump and Harris each receive 45 percent support. Kennedy captures 4 percent, with Stein, Oliver, and West collectively drawing 2 percent. The undecided voters increase to 5 percent in this scenario, with Harris slightly edging out Trump among independents at 39 percent to 33 percent.
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Trump maintains a slight edge in job approval and favorability ratings. The poll indicates that 51 percent of respondents approve of his performance during his presidency, compared to 48 percent who disapprove, resulting in a net +3 percent rating. Conversely, Harris has a net -7 percent rating, with 43 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving of her vice-presidential performance.
The poll results come amid significant economic turmoil, with major stock market indexes experiencing sharp declines. Trump has attributed the market downturn to Harris, dubbing it the “KAMALA CRASH.” This economic issue is likely to become a central theme in the campaign as both candidates vie for the crucial swing state.
In terms of favorability, Trump has a narrow lead, with 47 percent of respondents viewing him favorably compared to 46 percent for Harris. However, both candidates face high unfavorable ratings, with 50 percent for Trump and 51 percent for Harris.
This dead heat in Pennsylvania reflects a broader national trend of a highly competitive race between Trump and Harris. The outcome in Pennsylvania, with its significant electoral votes, could be decisive in determining the next President of the United States.
