In the latest New York poll for the 2024 presidential election, President Joe Biden maintains a slim lead over former President Donald Trump.
The poll, conducted by Siena College on June 20, 2024, shows Biden with 47% support among registered voters, while Trump trails slightly at 39%. This lead, however, is significantly smaller than Biden's margin of victory in New York during the 2020 election, where he won by 23 points.
NEW POLL: President Biden leads former President Trump by single digits in New York https://t.co/wtw3UmEit1
— The Hill (@thehill) June 20, 2024
Other recent polls reflect similar trends. Emerson College's May 30 poll shows Biden at 48% and Trump at 41%. Despite these numbers, the competition remains intense, indicating a potentially tighter race in New York than in previous elections. Historically, New York has been a stronghold for Democrats, but Trump's campaign appears to be making inroads.
The polling data also reveal a significant portion of undecided voters and support for third-party candidates, which could play a critical role in the election's outcome. In particular, candidates like Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are drawing notable percentages, reflecting broader voter dissatisfaction with the main contenders.
Siena poll of NY:
Biden 47 (nc vs. last poll in May)
Trump 39 (+1)https://t.co/ki2yU8XLxI— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP) June 20, 2024
The close race in New York mirrors national trends, where Biden and Trump are locked in a tight battle. According to RealClearPolitics, Biden's lead over Trump has shrunk to an average of just 7.5 points in New York. This is a substantial decrease from Biden's previous performance, indicating a more competitive landscape as the 2024 election approaches.
Both campaigns are heavily investing in New York, recognizing its potential to swing the overall electoral outcome. Trump's strategy includes targeting traditionally Democratic strongholds and emphasizing issues like crime and the economy, which resonate with many New Yorkers.
Meanwhile, Biden's campaign focuses on consolidating support among the state's diverse voter base, including urban and suburban areas where he has historically performed well.
As November approaches, New York remains a critical battleground, with both candidates aiming to secure its crucial electoral votes. The dynamic nature of voter preferences underscores the importance of continued campaign efforts and voter engagement in determining the final result.
